Salzpack
0x8ba7c26fb8f4e3416c0604734e899bca2ffaa1c6
- Realised P&L
- $-23.44
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $71.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.41at 0.170Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$12.29at 0.140Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$8.91at 0.440Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$3.55at 0.220Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
- +$2.44at 0.450US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 18:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 18:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.037999988 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 12:55 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0279999733 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 12:50 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.0429999868 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 19:05 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.260082153 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 19:03 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 19:03 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 19:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 18:59 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 18:58 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 18:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 18:58 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 09:24 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 09:23 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 09:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |