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Traders

Salzpack

0x8ba7c26fb8f4e3416c0604734e899bca2ffaa1c6

Realised P&L
$-23.44
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$71.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3600.905$10.06+$6.06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2720.541$5.97+$2.97
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7400.855$5.78+$0.78
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.018$4.38$2.63
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.195$4.18+$1.18
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6700.925$4.14+$1.14
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes0.1500.155$4.13+$0.13
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.7400.956$3.88+$0.88
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2600.315$3.63+$0.63
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0880.030$3.12$5.88
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5160.475$2.76$0.24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3710.512$2.76+$0.76
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2690.221$2.46$0.54
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0940.061$1.96$1.04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1620.065$1.88$2.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 18:04Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-09 18:03Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.037999988$3.00
07-06 12:55Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0279999733$1.00
07-06 12:50Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.0429999868$3.00
07-02 19:05Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?BUY0.260082153$3.00
07-02 19:03Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-02 19:03Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-02 19:02Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-02 18:59Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
07-02 18:58Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
07-02 18:58Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-02 18:58Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
04-19 09:24Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
04-19 09:23Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
04-19 09:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
Trader Salzpack · PolyBot Pro