PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Mr-Krabs

0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee

Realised P&L
$65.3k
Volume
$8.17M
Markets traded
736
Open portfolio
$81.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded736
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.9951.000$8.6k+$38.55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8100.585$7.7k$3.0k
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.9160.994$7.6k+$589.18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7220.745$6.0k+$180.01
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7040.655$5.8k$431.80
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · No0.8970.896$5.1k$8.33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.8490.475$4.6k$3.6k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.6831.000$4.1k+$1.3k
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · No0.9440.964$3.7k+$77.08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.6440.775$3.7k+$624.13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · No0.9671.000$3.4k+$110.23
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6250.780$3.1k+$615.33
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6970.795$2.4k+$295.90
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.5790.810$2.2k+$622.33
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5010.585$2.0k+$280.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:31Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.83$386.46
08-02 13:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.009$2.21
08-01 03:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.21$344.95
07-31 22:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.48$480.00
07-31 04:39Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.991$471.02
07-31 04:38Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.99$2.5k
07-31 04:37Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.89$504.63
07-31 04:37Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026?BUY0.994$119.28
07-31 04:37Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.967$3.3k
07-31 03:38Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?BUY0.7099925871$957.78
07-31 03:29Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.986003009$49.15
07-29 12:27Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8941677651$1.4k
07-29 04:11Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8718060799$624.90
07-29 01:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8947608893$3.6k
07-29 01:53Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8827416726$1.4k