Mr-Krabs
0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
- Realised P&L
- $66.3k
- Volume
- $8.72M
- Markets traded
- 776
- Open portfolio
- $82.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded776
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.9kat 0.331US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.6kat 0.729US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$8.6kat 0.447 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$8.2kat 0.992MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$5.9kat 0.070Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.1k |
| 09-13 20:55 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | SELL | 0.13 | $169.00 |
| 09-13 04:10 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $922.50 |
| 09-09 04:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $218.07 |
| 09-07 23:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $4.6k |
| 09-06 04:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $864.52 |
| 09-05 21:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $65.46 |
| 09-05 19:02 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.8551919386 | $891.11 |
| 09-01 21:36 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 08-31 14:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.4k |
| 08-28 21:58 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.86 | $836.37 |
| 08-27 12:58 | Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.2k |
| 08-27 12:55 | Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long? | BUY | 0.8497917945 | $1.1k |
| 08-26 21:14 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8964444444 | $806.80 |
| 08-26 21:13 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.7k |