Mr-Krabs
0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
- Realised P&L
- $49.8k
- Volume
- $9.25M
- Markets traded
- 831
- Open portfolio
- $76.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded831
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.9kat 0.331US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.6kat 0.729US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$8.6kat 0.447 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$8.2kat 0.992MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.752Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $11.4k |
| 10-30 08:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.5k |
| 10-29 03:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $2.6k |
| 10-28 02:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $111.00 |
| 10-28 01:37 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $15.6k |
| 10-28 00:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.2k |
| 10-27 17:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.1k |
| 10-27 17:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.1k |
| 10-27 12:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.76 | $28.77 |
| 10-27 12:52 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.8k |
| 10-27 12:41 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.5k |
| 10-27 11:01 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.71 | $396.00 |
| 10-26 05:36 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.09 |
| 10-26 05:33 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | BUY | 0.8741750636 | $1.6k |
| 10-26 05:06 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | BUY | 0.92814 | $1.9k |