Mr-Krabs
0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
- Realised P&L
- $65.3k
- Volume
- $8.17M
- Markets traded
- 736
- Open portfolio
- $81.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded736
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.9kat 0.331US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.6kat 0.729US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$8.6kat 0.447 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$8.3kat 0.991MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$5.9kat 0.070Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:31 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $386.46 |
| 08-02 13:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.009 | $2.21 |
| 08-01 03:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.21 | $344.95 |
| 07-31 22:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.48 | $480.00 |
| 07-31 04:39 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $471.02 |
| 07-31 04:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.5k |
| 07-31 04:37 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $504.63 |
| 07-31 04:37 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $119.28 |
| 07-31 04:37 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $3.3k |
| 07-31 03:38 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31? | BUY | 0.7099925871 | $957.78 |
| 07-31 03:29 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986003009 | $49.15 |
| 07-29 12:27 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8941677651 | $1.4k |
| 07-29 04:11 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8718060799 | $624.90 |
| 07-29 01:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8947608893 | $3.6k |
| 07-29 01:53 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8827416726 | $1.4k |