Lazarus69
0x7a3d562df8b0420c240cd414589f05d8bfd290e6
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $193.5k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$783.57at 0.908MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$674.05at 0.747Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$521.15at 0.430 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$454.10at 0.669Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$357.88at 0.930US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6 | $24.60 |
| 09-12 18:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 09-12 18:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 09-11 16:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 08-30 22:47 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $56.62 |
| 08-21 10:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $68.25 |
| 08-21 10:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $45.99 |
| 08-21 10:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 08-21 00:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.27 |
| 08-21 00:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $250.10 |
| 08-21 00:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $32.06 |
| 08-18 19:37 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August? | BUY | 0.77 | $53.90 |
| 08-16 13:20 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 08-16 13:19 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 08-14 12:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |