PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

the-special

0x7a162336444f3eba14dda90ce795987709074616

Realised P&L
$111.04
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$137.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 10:51Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.02$1.00
10-22 17:37Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.034$1.02
10-22 17:37Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.033$1.49
10-22 17:36Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?SELL0.189$4.08
10-21 16:33Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0489999982$1.00
10-21 16:33Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0489999982$1.00
10-21 16:33Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?SELL0.248$4.05
10-19 18:01Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0389999998$4.00
10-19 18:01Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0409999998$5.00
10-19 12:01Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0191239692$1.00
10-19 12:00Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0429999999$2.00
09-25 23:04Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?SELL0.865$38.22
09-11 20:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.016$1.41
09-11 20:14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0359999997$1.00
09-11 20:14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0149999999$1.00