PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfobos

0x78f51bd0e97d058d6e8c6085b5ce1d292bbebccd

Realised P&L
$4.86
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$120.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? · No0.4100.460$5.47+$0.59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 20? · No0.8700.935$5.36+$0.37
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25? · No0.8100.867$5.28+$0.34
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31? · No0.9300.968$5.19+$0.20
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? · No0.6800.700$5.14+$0.15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.7500.765$5.09+$0.10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4650.470$5.05+$0.05
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · No0.7500.755$5.03+$0.03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · No0.7200.720$5.00+$0.00
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania? · No0.9900.989$4.98−$0.01
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.8300.810$4.93−$0.12
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · No0.7040.688$4.88−$0.11
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25? · No0.6400.675$4.12+$0.21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 20? · No0.6600.695$3.99+$0.20
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? · Yes0.9570.959$3.83+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 00:37Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?SELL0.23$1.88
10-18 18:44Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?BUY0.9899998115$4.99
10-18 17:56Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?BUY0.6799999346$4.99
10-18 17:56Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?BUY0.22$1.62
10-18 17:42Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.32$3.44
10-18 17:42Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.1299999963$1.39
10-18 17:42Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.465$5.00
10-18 17:42Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.87$5.05
10-18 17:42Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.68$3.94
10-18 17:42Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.536$3.11
10-18 16:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.73$5.70
10-18 16:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.14$1.09
10-18 02:29Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?BUY0.64$3.91
10-18 02:29Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?BUY0.8099999951$4.94
10-18 02:29Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?BUY0.64$3.91