datasurfer
0x768a663f18532874ab04b974f75d7570c2424f50
- Realised P&L
- $203.87
- Volume
- $65.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,611
- Open portfolio
- $11.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,611
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.66at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$68.30at 0.568Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$63.51at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$62.45at 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$61.58at 0.592Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 00:59 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.98 | $28.00 |
| 06-18 00:57 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.9799991572 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 20:17 | Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8299998589 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 19:50 | Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 19:57 | Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09? | SELL | 0.945 | $8.02 |
| 05-15 21:26 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview? | SELL | 0.63 | $9.45 |
| 05-14 18:03 | Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 05-13 22:40 | Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.5666666667 | $8.50 |
| 05-12 21:19 | Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.52 | $7.31 |
| 05-12 21:19 | Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.45 | $27.67 |
| 05-12 12:04 | Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.4266711141 | $6.40 |
| 05-11 14:52 | Will Starmer say "Appalling" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.79 |
| 05-11 14:52 | Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.4016666667 | $12.05 |
| 04-21 11:22 | Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21? | SELL | 0.43 | $6.45 |
| 04-17 05:44 | Will Trump say "Medal of Freedom" during TPUSA events on April 17? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.71 |