johnnyboi55555
0x74d4833b5ab42d46ac853dbeb6af2f8fda1c8fcd
- Realised P&L
- $110.25
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 346
- Open portfolio
- $238.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded346
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.37at 0.255Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?
- +$83.90at 0.011Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
- +$42.42at 0.093Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$41.45at 0.199Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?
- +$38.74at 0.054Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 15:04 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $4.19 |
| 08-05 21:36 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.69 |
| 08-04 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 22:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.383568753 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0208192543 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.51 |
| 07-30 17:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 07-29 21:33 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 07-29 17:42 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 07-25 13:08 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $40.37 |
| 07-23 19:19 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.59 | $12.87 |
| 07-21 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.0729999331 | $1.00 |