0x72b24eb544cd088137f35e5c4e9fa7b98666bf9f
0x72b24eb544cd088137f35e5c4e9fa7b98666bf9f
- Realised P&L
- $-28.13
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $31.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.72at 0.343Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$5.02at 0.335Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?
- +$4.05at 0.256NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$3.53at 0.590Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$3.42at 0.372Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:08 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 12:03 | Will the Indiana Pacers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 09:01 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 08:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 08:54 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2349999898 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 08:54 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 08:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 08:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 08:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.43 |
| 10-29 15:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 15:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | SELL | 0.989 | $20.83 |
| 10-29 06:41 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $4.49 |
| 10-26 14:06 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $8.57 |