PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

4wgr

0x71e1e2a413edd55933450d28da8e9bd0464ca906

Realised P&L
$-20.22
Volume
$63.0k
Markets traded
132
Open portfolio
$32.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded132
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 07:48Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999877$3.00
09-30 07:48Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$3.00
09-30 07:48 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.9099992538$1.00
09-30 07:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-30 07:46Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.8$1.00
09-30 07:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-30 07:46Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.984$9.84
09-30 07:45Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.859999914$1.00
09-30 07:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-21 09:41Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$2.00
08-21 09:40Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9589998651$6.00
08-21 09:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.9299998093$4.00
08-21 09:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.9719999743$5.00
08-21 09:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.719999856$1.00
08-21 09:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7299998102$1.00