4wgr
0x71e1e2a413edd55933450d28da8e9bd0464ca906
- Realised P&L
- $-20.22
- Volume
- $63.0k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $32.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.61at 0.383Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.17at 0.460Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.17at 0.720Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$1.13at 0.003Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$1.11at 0.730 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 07:48 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 07:48 | Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 07:48 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 09-30 07:45 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 09:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 09:40 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9589998651 | $6.00 |
| 08-21 09:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299998093 | $4.00 |
| 08-21 09:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9719999743 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 09:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 09:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |