PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Luckster

0x716257cea63ecbe289b582cbadaef20ef5b4f2b3

Realised P&L
$-381.51
Volume
$50.6k
Markets traded
284
Open portfolio
$285.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded284
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1210.065$75.80$65.19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0890.042$62.64$70.36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2820.165$23.41$16.59
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.3601.000$19.44+$12.44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.255$18.21+$3.21
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.2001.000$15.00+$12.00
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0290.026$10.86$1.14
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2600.255$9.81$0.19
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-09-17? · No0.6201.000$8.06+$3.06
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? · No0.4301.000$6.98+$3.98
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3310.305$6.45$0.55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1270.115$6.32$0.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1300.125$2.88$0.12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.4540.185$2.45$3.55
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0600.033$2.17$1.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:55Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.3599999712$3.00
09-17 15:55Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-17 15:55Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.4299999498$3.00
09-17 15:55Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.2$3.00
09-17 15:27Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.3599999712$4.00
09-16 11:45Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.439999956$2.00
09-16 11:44Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-16 11:44Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-16 11:44Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.439999956$4.00
09-14 13:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.87$20.71
09-14 13:18Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.3$3.00
09-14 13:17Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.3$3.00
09-14 13:17Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
09-13 12:59Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.6999999883$5.99
09-13 12:57Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.449999964$5.00