Luckster
0x716257cea63ecbe289b582cbadaef20ef5b4f2b3
- Realised P&L
- $-304.82
- Volume
- $51.3k
- Markets traded
- 310
- Open portfolio
- $261.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded310
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.61at 0.071Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
- +$57.53at 0.777Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
- +$50.00at 0.100Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
- +$44.48at 0.218Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
- +$35.17at 0.420Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 05:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 05:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 05:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 10:09 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 08:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 09:11 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 10-20 20:43 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.53 |
| 10-20 14:38 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 14:36 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4699999863 | $11.00 |
| 10-20 10:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 10:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 10-20 10:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 10:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 10:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.00 |
| 10-19 17:20 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3699999966 | $11.00 |