Luckster
0x716257cea63ecbe289b582cbadaef20ef5b4f2b3
- Realised P&L
- $-381.51
- Volume
- $50.6k
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $285.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.61at 0.071Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
- +$57.53at 0.777Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
- +$50.00at 0.100Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
- +$44.48at 0.218Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
- +$35.17at 0.420Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:55 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 15:55 | Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:55 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 15:55 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 15:27 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 11:45 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 13:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $20.71 |
| 09-14 13:18 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 13:17 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 13:17 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 12:59 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.6999999883 | $5.99 |
| 09-13 12:57 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |