PolyBot

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Traders

Luckster

0x716257cea63ecbe289b582cbadaef20ef5b4f2b3

Realised P&L
$-304.82
Volume
$51.3k
Markets traded
310
Open portfolio
$261.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded310
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.3930.460$70.22+$10.22
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1210.040$46.65−$94.35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0890.019$29.08−$103.91
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2820.175$24.83−$15.17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4000.355$17.76−$2.24
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.3430.355$11.38+$0.38
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2600.275$10.58+$0.58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.125$8.93−$6.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3720.635$8.54+$3.54
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0290.017$6.97−$5.03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.3270.325$6.95−$0.05
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1270.095$5.22−$1.77
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.4540.185$2.45−$3.55
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2550.145$2.28−$1.72
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0600.022$1.50−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 05:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4499999775$3.00
10-29 05:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.449999964$5.00
10-29 05:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.449999964$5.00
10-25 10:09Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.3399999966$20.00
10-25 08:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-24 09:11Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.5$15.00
10-20 20:43Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.15$4.53
10-20 14:38Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
10-20 14:36Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.4699999863$11.00
10-20 10:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.32$5.00
10-20 10:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.4$40.00
10-20 10:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.32$1.00
10-20 10:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-20 10:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.4$15.00
10-19 17:20Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?BUY0.3699999966$11.00