0x67dFE6635Bd4C8582D286F402338EA6F5ECd7e00-1781659109831
0x67dfe6635bd4c8582d286f402338ea6f5ecd7e00
- Realised P&L
- $-167.74
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $127.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.97at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3PM ET
- +$57.25at 0.861Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$42.60at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4PM ET
- +$42.48at 0.126Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$38.04at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 23:18 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.0239999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 23:18 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 23:14 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:42 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | BUY | 0.0673420695 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 17:31 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 15:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 01:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999946 | $25.00 |
| 09-01 20:39 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 22:53 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 19:01 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.2981307024 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 19:00 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.2856354707 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 19:00 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999911 | $25.00 |
| 08-22 21:08 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.4329054285 | $100.00 |
| 08-22 15:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |