PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x67dFE6635Bd4C8582D286F402338EA6F5ECd7e00-1781659109831

0x67dfe6635bd4c8582d286f402338ea6f5ecd7e00

Realised P&L
$-167.74
Volume
$15.0k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$127.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3670.135$55.10$94.89
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1390.265$47.59+$22.59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3700.555$15.00+$5.00
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0240.021$4.27$0.73
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.455$2.65$2.36
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.0670.010$1.48$8.52
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0610.043$0.70$0.30
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0100.005$0.55$0.45
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.043$0.27$0.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8PM ET · Up0.2090.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10PM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$5.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 23:18Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.0239999999$5.00
09-10 23:18Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$5.00
09-10 23:14Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
09-07 17:42Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?BUY0.0673420695$10.00
09-07 17:31Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
09-07 15:14Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
09-02 01:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9PM ETBUY0.4499999946$25.00
09-01 20:39Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
08-29 22:53Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.32$10.00
08-29 19:01Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.2981307024$10.00
08-29 19:00Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.2856354707$10.00
08-29 19:00Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
08-28 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7PM ETBUY0.3899999911$25.00
08-22 21:08Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.4329054285$100.00
08-22 15:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11AM ETBUY0.359999977$5.00