szarruk
0x677e06702992f6026cc7ad43379c8c4f3f935d5a
- Realised P&L
- $-439.26
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $619.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.85at 0.725Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
- +$3.25at 0.040Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$0.90at 0.550Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
- +$0.54at 0.910Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?
- +$0.23at 0.160Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 16:22 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.99 |
| 07-12 04:54 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.99 |
| 07-11 21:00 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.99 |
| 06-30 14:49 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 23:35 | Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.99 |
| 06-01 12:39 | Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.01 |
| 04-21 14:40 | Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.083 | $0.50 |
| 04-16 15:15 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.05 | $8.91 |
| 04-16 14:45 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0514556747 | $10.60 |
| 04-16 14:15 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0595856805 | $13.12 |
| 04-16 13:45 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0597409503 | $14.04 |
| 04-16 13:15 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.06 | $16.31 |
| 04-16 13:04 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.56 |
| 04-16 13:01 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.48 |
| 04-16 12:59 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.08 |