Ym777Ym
0x66cab4346fe9e0064f9a471e1da35ec4b182532d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $46.7k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $16.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.20at 0.860Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$69.73at 0.769Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$68.85at 0.837Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$66.50at 0.930Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?
- +$48.18at 0.795Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 05:33 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $709.80 |
| 09-30 05:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $740.00 |
| 09-30 05:30 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $332.00 |
| 09-30 05:29 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $325.50 |
| 09-30 05:27 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $682.50 |
| 09-30 05:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $312.00 |
| 09-30 05:27 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 05:23 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9900412857 | $346.51 |
| 09-25 07:01 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9153588235 | $155.61 |
| 09-23 06:21 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8946320173 | $891.64 |
| 09-23 06:20 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.37075 | $148.30 |
| 09-23 05:44 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.75 | $91.83 |
| 09-21 10:18 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $279.00 |
| 09-21 09:35 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $372.00 |
| 09-21 09:28 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9941437667 | $596.49 |