TheDchicken
0x5f1a7d5e53ecdadb5414d0f6835c595e7e8a84a0
- Realised P&L
- $57.86
- Volume
- $18.4k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $141.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.13at 0.154Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?
- +$28.78at 0.700Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?
- +$14.35at 0.218Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
- +$11.36at 0.170Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
- +$10.38at 0.777Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 14:13 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9569991569 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:24 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:24 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | SELL | 0.988 | $3.89 |
| 09-23 22:13 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:12 | Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:11 | Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.7230108732 | $6.00 |
| 09-23 22:10 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | SELL | 0.988 | $7.80 |
| 09-23 05:59 | Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | BUY | 0.9889999985 | $4.00 |
| 09-23 05:57 | Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 05:56 | Will FDP be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.995 | $8.00 |
| 09-23 05:54 | Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 05:51 | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 20:57 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 20:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |