orbiterix
0x5e2c9027e13db8cc4d3281c88acf7d7b824c5dc1
- Realised P&L
- $-669.89
- Volume
- $71.7k
- Markets traded
- 593
- Open portfolio
- $741.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded593
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.30at 0.991MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$112.20at 0.978Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
- +$73.75at 0.054Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
- +$70.40at 0.758Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$65.42at 0.038Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 23:47 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $25.60 |
| 07-29 07:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.795 | $15.90 |
| 07-28 16:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.794 | $15.88 |
| 07-23 07:58 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.87 | $54.38 |
| 07-23 07:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $29.69 |
| 07-23 07:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $29.69 |
| 07-22 07:32 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0388163848 | $1.77 |
| 07-21 17:23 | Over $100M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.64 |
| 07-21 16:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 07-21 16:34 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 07-21 06:59 | Over $750k committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.35 |
| 07-20 19:49 | Exact Score: FC Rapid 1923 0 - 0 Sepsi OSK? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 22:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 07-19 22:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.11 |
| 07-19 21:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |