orbiterix
0x5e2c9027e13db8cc4d3281c88acf7d7b824c5dc1
- Realised P&L
- $-771.38
- Volume
- $83.8k
- Markets traded
- 712
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded712
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$64.30at 0.040Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-17 17:32 | Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.85 | $25.50 |
| 09-16 17:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $30.03 |
| 09-15 18:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 09-15 18:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 09-15 15:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-11 15:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 09-11 12:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-11 08:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $27.72 |
| 09-10 18:01 | Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.82 |
| 09-10 16:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 09-10 16:43 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.08 |
| 09-10 16:32 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 09-10 16:05 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $65.60 |
| 09-09 12:40 | Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $15.19 |