PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

orbiterix

0x5e2c9027e13db8cc4d3281c88acf7d7b824c5dc1

Realised P&L
$-669.89
Volume
$71.7k
Markets traded
593
Open portfolio
$741.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded593
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · No0.8380.850$85.00+$1.20
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9280.980$78.40+$4.17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9560.962$57.71+$0.34
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7500.865$54.06+$7.19
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · No0.8060.840$42.00+$1.70
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9340.988$29.63+$1.60
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9670.973$29.19+$0.18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$27.45+$0.15
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8800.895$26.85+$0.45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.5780.175$19.73$45.27
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9570.968$19.36+$0.22
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.630$18.90+$0.90
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.7630.621$18.61$4.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2060.115$18.40$14.60
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? · Yes0.9650.919$18.39$0.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 23:47Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.64$25.60
07-29 07:59Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.795$15.90
07-28 16:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.794$15.88
07-23 07:58Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?SELL0.87$54.38
07-23 07:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.66$29.69
07-23 07:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.66$29.69
07-22 07:32Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?BUY0.0388163848$1.77
07-21 17:23Over $100M committed to the RipCars public sale?BUY0.019$1.64
07-21 16:35Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.51$10.20
07-21 16:34Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.51$20.40
07-21 06:59Over $750k committed to the RipCars public sale?BUY0.027$1.35
07-20 19:49Exact Score: FC Rapid 1923 0 - 0 Sepsi OSK?BUY0.8$4.00
07-19 22:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$0.13
07-19 22:00Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.037$1.11
07-19 21:45Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$1.60