PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.210. up 0.100 over the period, from 0.110. Range 0.037 to 0.335. 33 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3902020
0.739727
0.74080107
0.98833140
0.98936176
0.99060236
0.99713250
0.99821270
0.99985355

Spread0.359Mid0.211

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03166
0.0306167
0.0111279
0.01060139
0.00418157
0.00320177
0.00225201
0.001150351

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96966
0.9706167
0.9891279
0.99060139
0.99618157
0.99720177
0.99825201
0.999150351

Spread0.359Mid0.789

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6102020
0.261727
0.26080107
0.01233140
0.01136176
0.01060236
0.00313250
0.00221270
0.00185355

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes70.22
GuyFromTinderYes24.94
tradetosurvive1Yes15
ddadsfYes10
sadfsadfYes9.96
KristerkbNo60.94
ScoopdewhoopNo30
financegaaaydogNo20
aimeiNo19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:31:24BUYNo0.74610$7.46
01:31:23BUYNo0.74610$7.46
01:31:21BUYNo0.74610$7.46
23:01:48SELLYes0.15520$3.10
19:44:24SELLYes0.176$1.01
19:44:23SELLYes0.1716$1.02
19:44:21BUYNo0.82961$50.52
16:37:12SELLNo0.80120$16.02
08:31:59BUYNo0.881999966610$8.62
08:31:59SELLYes0.11930$3.57
08:22:41SELLYes0.1212540$4.85
07:53:11BUYYes0.08820$1.76
07:53:11BUYYes0.0740$2.80
07:21:26BUYYes0.06120$1.22
07:03:53BUYYes0.05760$3.42
07:03:51SELLNo0.943143285770$66.02
06:29:05SELLYes0.0250$1.00
04:33:06SELLYes0.0310$0.30
04:32:32SELLYes0.0310$0.30
04:22:38SELLYes0.1120$2.20
04:22:36BUYNo0.8910$8.90
04:22:36BUYNo0.880111109620$17.80
04:22:36BUYNo0.8910$8.90
04:22:36BUYNo0.8770$60.90
03:08:03SELLNo0.8919$16.91