PolyBot

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Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-07-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.35. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.22 to 0.58. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.372020
0.431,0001,020
0.449001,920
0.701002,020
0.731262,146
0.74802,226
0.905052,731
0.911002,831
0.96252,856
0.973663,222
0.98503,272
0.991713,442

Spread0.03Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.344040
0.174181
0.16100181
0.1521202
0.1220222
0.1021243
0.068251
0.0510261
0.0320281
0.0213294
0.0175369

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.664040
0.834181
0.84100181
0.8521202
0.8820222
0.9021243
0.948251
0.9510261
0.9720281
0.9813294
0.9975369

Spread0.03Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.632020
0.571,0001,020
0.569001,920
0.301002,020
0.271262,146
0.26802,226
0.105052,731
0.091002,831
0.04252,856
0.033663,222
0.02503,272
0.011713,442

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
2B9SYes60
AJSVYes54.71
GuyFromTinderYes39.54
pootytherewardfarmerYes38.5
NoTeacherNo152.75
PermanentUnderclassNo20
ZhouCDNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:05:57SELLYes0.3420$6.80
03:42:06BUYNo0.6720$13.40
02:21:54SELLNo0.6320$12.60
02:19:46SELLNo0.6420$12.80
02:19:43SELLNo0.6538$24.70
09:14:22SELLNo0.6260$37.20
07:23:38BUYNo0.6540$26.00
07:23:35BUYNo0.6420$12.80
07:23:31BUYNo0.6493$59.36
11:33:53BUYYes0.2820$5.60
10:51:14BUYNo0.6820$13.60
09:03:29BUYNo0.6820$13.60
07:17:45BUYNo0.6320$12.60
20:05:14BUYNo0.6420$12.80
18:19:05SELLYes0.2720$5.40
14:52:14BUYNo0.7220$14.40
14:52:06BUYNo0.6620$13.20
10:25:50BUYYes0.2520$5.00
10:06:15BUYYes0.279999998760$16.93
12:22:35BUYNo0.6220$12.40
22:33:45BUYNo0.6398$61.74
13:40:29SELLNo0.6220$12.40
12:10:08BUYYes0.2820$5.60