0x4b57cf70def99632f3f2c9fc318cd793536ceccf
0x4b57cf70def99632f3f2c9fc318cd793536ceccf
- Realised P&L
- $-2.00
- Volume
- $329.68
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $21.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.67at 0.219Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.82at 0.267Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.35at 0.680Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$2.23at 0.310Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
- +$1.86at 0.349Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 05:26 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:07 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 07:07 | Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2129998633 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 07:05 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 07:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2189998312 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 07:04 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 19:30 | Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 19:29 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 19:29 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949998479 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 19:29 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 10:58 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 20:28 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 20:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 20:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 17:04 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0969999157 | $1.00 |