PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ox4569DDCfDdE68a9A5ee49CD12b6620A141CEec91

0x4569ddcfdde68a9a5ee49cd12b6620a141ceec91

Realised P&L
$-92.77
Volume
$41.8k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$146.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 20:28Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9879999233$2.99
07-30 21:00Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?SELL0.12$0.48
07-30 20:59Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?SELL0.15$0.45
07-30 20:59Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?SELL0.22$0.66
07-30 20:58Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.17$0.34
07-30 20:56Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.1$0.20
07-30 20:49Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?SELL0.15$0.15
07-30 20:49Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?SELL0.4$0.40
07-30 20:49Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?SELL0.022$0.02
07-30 16:10Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.18$0.90
07-30 16:09Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.003$0.03
07-30 16:09Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.041$0.41
07-30 16:09Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?SELL0.052$0.62
07-30 16:09Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?SELL0.037$0.67
07-30 16:09SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SELL0.012$0.22