ox4569DDCfDdE68a9A5ee49CD12b6620A141CEec91
0x4569ddcfdde68a9a5ee49cd12b6620a141ceec91
- Realised P&L
- $-92.77
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $146.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.30at 0.870Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.49at 0.280Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
- +$2.88at 0.963Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
- +$2.40at 0.720Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.24at 0.710Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:28 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9879999233 | $2.99 |
| 07-30 21:00 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.48 |
| 07-30 20:59 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.45 |
| 07-30 20:59 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.66 |
| 07-30 20:58 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.34 |
| 07-30 20:56 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.20 |
| 07-30 20:49 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.15 |
| 07-30 20:49 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.40 |
| 07-30 20:49 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.02 |
| 07-30 16:10 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 07-30 16:09 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 07-30 16:09 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.41 |
| 07-30 16:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.052 | $0.62 |
| 07-30 16:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.67 |
| 07-30 16:09 | SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.22 |