ox4569DDCfDdE68a9A5ee49CD12b6620A141CEec91
0x4569ddcfdde68a9a5ee49cd12b6620a141ceec91
- Realised P&L
- $-87.10
- Volume
- $49.9k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $928.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.01at 0.597Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
- +$14.09at 0.795Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
- +$13.55at 0.766Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?
- +$10.96at 0.432Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$10.05at 0.874Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 04:11 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.42926 | $4.29 |
| 10-31 03:34 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.86 |
| 10-31 03:00 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.29 |
| 10-31 02:27 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.72 |
| 10-31 01:51 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-30 19:18 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.49 |
| 10-30 18:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1089999987 | $1.08 |
| 10-30 18:44 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.57 |
| 10-30 18:43 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.20 |
| 10-30 18:40 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.50 |
| 10-23 22:17 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999908 | $2.27 |
| 10-16 19:10 | Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $104.93 |
| 10-16 06:35 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $10.80 |
| 10-16 06:35 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $15.51 |
| 10-16 00:45 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999334 | $2.34 |