0x418614B0D795855B5467674C88d271E5a0F5Ee77-1768935952178
0x418614b0d795855b5467674c88d271e5a0f5ee77
- Realised P&L
- $113.77
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $155.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.21at 0.390Kash Patel out by June 30?
- +$68.25at 0.180AWS service disrupted by March 31?
- +$42.00at 0.350Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
- +$40.29at 0.110Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$33.59at 0.329Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 16:50 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 16:36 | Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 16:15 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 19:07 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2039999873 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 19:00 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $15.00 |
| 07-14 18:33 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.372 | $33.21 |
| 07-05 18:11 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.123 | $10.54 |
| 06-14 19:46 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 19:29 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 17:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999965 | $25.00 |
| 06-10 17:44 | Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 17:26 | Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 20:01 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 19:59 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0399735375 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 19:54 | Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.1285770178 | $10.00 |