PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

delmedicopoetayloco

0x3d94d8d47d5e258ffd34b80e30cc19c4581da85f

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$751.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-44.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 30? · No0.9781.000$102.25+$2.25
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 30? · No0.9931.000$100.70+$0.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? · No0.9940.991$100.65−$0.35
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.8200.815$100.38−$0.62
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? · Yes0.9940.996$100.15+$0.15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? · Yes0.9100.895$98.35−$1.65
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Nothing0.9250.973$64.15+$3.15
Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30? · No0.9900.917$27.80−$2.20
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9530.988$22.80+$0.80
Nothing Ever Happens: October · Nothing0.8900.875$4.92−$0.08
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9340.968$2.07+$0.07
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9780.987$2.02+$0.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? · Yes0.9340.965$1.03+$0.03
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9420.958$1.02+$0.02
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9760.976$1.00−$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 23:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?BUY0.991$1.00
09-30 23:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.9339998356$1.00
09-30 23:21Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?BUY0.77$1.00
09-30 23:20Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?BUY0.99$10.00
09-30 23:19Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?BUY0.99$10.00
09-30 23:19Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?BUY0.99$10.00
09-30 23:17Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-30 23:08Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
09-30 23:04Will there be at least 3700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.99$1.00
09-30 22:57Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.8199999967$100.00
09-30 22:46Is Earth flat?BUY0.996$1.00
09-30 22:461 megaton meteor strike in 2026?BUY0.987999996$1.00
09-30 22:459.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.97$1.00
09-30 22:4510.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.9899990298$1.00
09-30 22:41Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.8199994588$1.00