PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

5-testfollower-car

0x3be56dec80a7ec937580b5a4daec22fb5e31f7fe

Realised P&L
$-61.14
Volume
$19.3k
Markets traded
740
Open portfolio
$817.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded740
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8470.845$83.07−$0.21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.793$39.43+$14.58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9330.935$37.40+$0.08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9650.974$33.39+$0.30
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.885$17.14−$0.10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.973$16.51+$0.18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.987$14.79+$0.08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.935$14.77+$0.87
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9530.960$13.84+$0.10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9500.957$10.66+$0.07
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9500.962$10.34+$0.13
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.206$10.26−$14.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.977$9.77+$0.21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9710.974$9.74+$0.02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9350.954$9.54+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 18:56Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$0.48
10-02 14:28Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.95$4.49
10-02 11:18Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.59$2.95
10-02 11:17Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.59$2.95
10-02 11:17Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?SELL0.4$2.00
10-02 09:32Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?SELL0.27$1.34
10-02 09:25Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?SELL0.69$3.42
10-02 09:18Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?SELL0.28$1.37
10-02 06:19US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.8$4.00
10-02 02:07Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?BUY0.3$1.50
10-01 23:12Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7099998663$3.61
10-01 22:59Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?BUY0.84$4.20
10-01 22:09Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.81$2.54
10-01 18:53Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.97$0.78
10-01 18:45Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.68$3.40