PolyBot

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Traders

BoughtTheTop

0x3a56a469d6457f779f18869f92f23878cc39387c

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$3.98M
Markets traded
5,977
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,977
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.9030.989$98.19+$8.51
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.7200.942$81.95+$19.31
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.3111.000$69.10+$47.63
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · No0.3371.000$62.73+$41.59
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · No0.5540.967$62.32+$26.58
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.5730.940$61.57+$24.02
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.8950.995$45.47+$4.57
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.5001.000$45.00+$22.50
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6900.875$43.75+$9.25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.5530.963$43.42+$18.49
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.2150.963$37.67+$29.23
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No0.7640.951$35.51+$6.97
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.8410.968$35.39+$4.63
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · No0.5580.950$33.16+$13.66
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.5150.932$32.80+$14.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-22 22:23Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-22?SELL0.95$9.50
01-22 22:21Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?BUY0.25$2.50
01-22 22:07Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?SELL0.7$7.00
01-22 22:05Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.8$7.20
01-22 22:05Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.8$8.00
01-22 22:05Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.8$8.00
01-22 22:05Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.8$8.00
01-22 21:59S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?BUY0.6$6.00
01-22 21:59S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?BUY0.6$6.00
01-22 21:59Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.76$7.60
01-22 21:59Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.76$7.60
01-22 21:58S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?BUY0.6$3.00
01-22 21:58Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.76$7.60
01-22 21:58Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.76$7.60
01-22 21:58Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.76$7.60