marcelobravo
0x36b6d6027e2217f341275b790c6d1296d55be523
- Realised P&L
- $218.20
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $793.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.71at 0.360Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.86at 0.699Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?
- +$27.92at 0.419Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$25.20at 0.747Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$20.40at 0.622Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:39 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.968 | $19.36 |
| 10-07 05:14 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9679999777 | $40.00 |
| 10-06 14:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-06 07:09 | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 07:16 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 09-30 07:15 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 09-30 07:15 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.79 |
| 09-28 12:42 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.4 | $9.68 |
| 09-25 15:37 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 07:48 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.86 | $8.81 |
| 09-23 13:54 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $30.36 |
| 09-23 13:35 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 09-20 18:41 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.996 | $70.95 |
| 09-11 07:54 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.8529999946 | $20.00 |
| 08-26 12:07 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.0477455172 | $2.77 |