marcelobravo
0x36b6d6027e2217f341275b790c6d1296d55be523
- Realised P&L
- $194.81
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $929.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.71at 0.360Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.86at 0.699Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?
- +$25.20at 0.747Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$23.71at 0.843Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 16?
- +$20.40at 0.622Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 07:54 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.8529999946 | $20.00 |
| 08-26 12:07 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.0477455172 | $2.77 |
| 08-25 06:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 08-25 06:42 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.901 | $27.03 |
| 08-25 06:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | SELL | 0.992 | $19.84 |
| 08-25 06:40 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.949 | $9.49 |
| 08-25 06:20 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%? | SELL | 0.998 | $69.86 |
| 08-21 08:50 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 08-21 08:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 08-21 08:48 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 08-21 08:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $19.82 |
| 08-21 08:48 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-21 08:47 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%? | SELL | 0.972 | $8.85 |
| 08-20 12:24 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-18 12:59 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.925 | $18.50 |