marcelobravo
0x36b6d6027e2217f341275b790c6d1296d55be523
- Realised P&L
- $202.36
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $860.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.80at 0.354Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.90at 0.691Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?
- +$25.20at 0.747Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$21.14at 0.610Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
- +$19.52at 0.663Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:27 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-30 13:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.939 | $14.08 |
| 07-30 13:21 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.949 | $18.98 |
| 07-30 13:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 07-30 12:12 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $10.05 |
| 07-30 09:01 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.74 | $11.10 |
| 07-28 12:20 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.073946 | $7.39 |
| 07-28 12:18 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.61 | $21.35 |
| 07-27 09:10 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 09:38 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 07:38 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 07:34 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 07-17 07:29 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.698 | $6.98 |
| 07-17 07:29 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 07-17 07:27 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |