PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

QuantMcLovin

0x3642e17a929a87ec51f06af1d11388a48068757d

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$289.7k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1040.084$250.50−$61.60
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.135$202.50−$7.50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9430.968$183.82+$4.66
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.7600.855$171.00+$19.00
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.5800.885$150.45+$51.85
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.7800.920$138.00+$21.00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.958$104.08+$4.08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9000.945$103.95+$4.95
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.935$102.85+$0.55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8700.885$97.35+$1.65
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9100.905$90.50−$0.50
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8900.680$68.00−$21.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0000.435$43.50+$43.50
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9600.978$42.23+$0.76
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9530.957$38.26+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 21:07Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.999$2.8k
08-23 19:26Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.5572$222.88
08-21 19:55Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-21?SELL0.94$122.20
08-21 19:11Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-21?BUY0.79$102.70
08-19 19:26Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy PaulSELL0.8$511.88
08-18 21:05Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevSELL0.5750799854$1.2k
08-16 16:20Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael ZhengSELL0.13$52.00
08-16 15:50Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael ZhengSELL0.38$114.00
08-12 05:13UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.76$2.5k
08-12 05:12UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.76$836.00
08-12 05:11UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.76$836.00
08-11 07:35UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.76$836.00
08-07 18:50National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.6299999997$400.00
08-07 18:49National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.6799999981$100.00
08-07 06:07Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.1399999989$100.00