king5421
0x3605811b8169e65b4526a1d2a878bd03210052bd
- Realised P&L
- $9.59
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 870
- Open portfolio
- $145.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded870
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.67at 0.106Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
- +$10.43at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8AM ET
- +$8.88at 0.640Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9AM ET
- +$7.36at 0.582Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8AM ET
- +$5.90at 0.705Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:02 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 10-01 01:19 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.5939999501 | $4.21 |
| 09-28 07:47 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-26 06:56 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 09-22 15:02 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.225T by September 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-20 13:34 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $19.64 |
| 09-19 02:04 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-18 02:55 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-15 13:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 08-27 14:23 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 08-27 08:35 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.156 | $1.56 |
| 08-16 13:05 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 06-01 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $1.23 |
| 06-01 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999414 | $1.75 |
| 06-01 13:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $0.05 |