PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sd4f5g67h8j9

0x31a47ac5c37891a38c971ee497f1883bbf4edd86

Realised P&L
$30.0k
Volume
$391.6k
Markets traded
3,211
Open portfolio
$194.84

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded3,211
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? · Yes0.8500.967$29.00+$3.50
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%? · No0.9991.000$20.00+$0.02
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%? · No0.9911.000$20.00+$0.18
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? · No0.8401.000$20.00+$3.20
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · No0.9400.985$19.70+$0.90
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.9660.992$9.91+$0.26
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No0.9970.991$9.90−$0.07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9840.988$9.88+$0.04
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8400.949$9.48+$1.08
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8200.925$9.25+$1.05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8500.862$8.62+$0.12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8830.822$8.21−$0.61
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8500.807$8.07−$0.43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8700.655$6.55−$2.15
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.0970.557$5.58+$4.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 00:41Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?BUY0.998$6.73
10-18 23:11Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.992$5.78
10-18 22:40Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.991$3.00
10-18 22:24Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.991$3.00
10-18 19:35Will Pamela Mitchell win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.997$9.97
10-18 19:35Will Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.999$9.99
10-18 19:35Will Ejaz Butt win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.999$9.99
10-18 19:35Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.991$9.91
10-18 19:35Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.9920479109$9.93
10-18 19:35Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.4$6.25
10-18 19:35Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.7399999911$11.70
10-18 19:35Will Nathalie Xian Yi Yan win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.999$9.99
10-18 18:08Will David Xie win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?SELL0.49$4.42
10-18 18:03Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?BUY0.991$19.82
10-18 18:03Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?BUY0.999$19.98