nemonem
0x319b07a07299ee3b1b1107062cfda9cd9168f04e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $68.7k
- Markets traded
- 512
- Open portfolio
- $279.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded512
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$190.78at 0.532Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?
- +$124.30at 0.337Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
- +$119.99at 0.433Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs
- +$117.77at 0.672LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
- +$114.01at 0.477WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:56 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.35168 | $43.96 |
| 09-30 20:49 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.70130813 | $107.22 |
| 09-30 20:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3422347693 | $24.24 |
| 09-30 20:23 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.5809781869 | $177.65 |
| 09-30 20:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999984 | $9.71 |
| 09-30 20:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3299999904 | $9.62 |
| 09-20 18:43 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 14:06 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 14:05 | Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2415225582 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 07:49 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 07:43 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 20:29 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 20:27 | Antalya 4: Radka Zelnickova vs Zhibek Kulambayeva | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 20:25 | Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |