frenchflair5
0x2ce95217ebdba258644d482a7f70aa7035f55fc6
- Realised P&L
- $85.15
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $620.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.42at 0.676Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$22.90at 0.713Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$2.78at 0.885Fed rate hike in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:29 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.3599999978 | $32.56 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.939999998 | $19.00 |
| 09-16 18:55 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.7899999986 | $28.80 |
| 09-16 18:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999988 | $57.12 |
| 09-16 16:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999848 | $46.28 |
| 09-16 03:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $76.56 |
| 09-16 02:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5439999873 | $5.49 |
| 09-15 23:44 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 22:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5269999823 | $10.64 |
| 09-15 16:40 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.196999991 | $4.06 |
| 09-15 16:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.9 | $20.02 |
| 09-15 14:45 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9769999998 | $14.73 |
| 09-15 14:36 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5499999936 | $30.24 |
| 09-15 14:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9619999974 | $9.67 |
| 09-15 11:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5179999793 | $10.46 |