PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x29d6C410E0bEE6D7F2d38ddaeE95C836D3a21388-1780045487856

0x29d6c410e0bee6d7f2d38ddaee95c836d3a21388

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$74.8k
Markets traded
358
Open portfolio
$89.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded358
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2770.175$25.28−$14.72
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4200.705$10.07+$4.07
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6600.925$8.41+$2.41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1550.123$7.97−$2.03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$6.54−$3.46
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0370.048$6.42+$1.42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2070.183$5.31−$0.69
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0310.016$5.16−$4.84
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.1490.431$4.32+$2.83
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1500.045$3.00−$7.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5900.295$3.00−$3.00
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.3750.084$2.24−$7.76
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0690.019$1.70−$4.30
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · No0.0600.025$0.42−$0.58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 12:02SHEIN IPO before 2027?BUY0.91$1.00
07-24 11:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-19 20:06Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
07-19 13:33Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.4$10.00
07-19 13:26Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.149$1.49
07-19 13:21Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999947$20.00
07-10 21:56Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?BUY0.1099999848$6.00
07-10 21:55Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?BUY0.0899999872$6.00
07-10 21:55Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.147$11.92
07-10 05:34Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-09 06:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.05$10.00
07-09 06:42Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?BUY0.0479999955$10.00
07-09 06:33Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by July 31?BUY0.4661156764$6.00
07-09 06:31Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.6599999692$6.00
07-08 19:58Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.1099999848$6.00