tester0d44
0x24556d9f44dcd68da63d371fe57f60a3ed06a70f
- Realised P&L
- $-226.04
- Volume
- $143.6k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $554.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$557.67at 0.233Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$414.80at 0.368Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$397.43at 0.115Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
- +$370.79at 0.256Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$328.50at 0.550Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:28 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1486915145 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 18:00 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0297578516 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 17:30 | Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.0237796649 | $4.10 |
| 09-06 16:01 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1884089332 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 18:41 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2327259187 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 14:07 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | BUY | 0.09661201 | $50.00 |
| 08-29 12:12 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $232.55 |
| 08-27 17:29 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? | BUY | 0.1333807555 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 17:23 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | BUY | 0.2021081693 | $50.00 |
| 08-24 17:13 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.042820339 | $50.00 |
| 08-24 12:19 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1727314577 | $50.00 |
| 08-20 12:49 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1970715405 | $37.74 |
| 08-18 22:19 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0147963052 | $50.00 |
| 08-17 18:00 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August? | BUY | 0.1982118909 | $50.00 |
| 08-17 17:07 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0318412078 | $50.00 |