0x20dacbd9b2874b20470b1a48c2ce72d7cd8b5765
0x20dacbd9b2874b20470b1a48c2ce72d7cd8b5765
- Realised P&L
- $12.65
- Volume
- $321.81
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $8.92
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.555 | $2.14 | +$1.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.385 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.325 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.785 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.605 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.255 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.250 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.395 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.037 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$5.69at 0.260US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.61at 0.308S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$3.34at 0.382Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.08at 0.400SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:26 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:17 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:08 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 04:19 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:19 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 11:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:57 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 20:44 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:36 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 00:04 | Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 15:35 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |