Zhaowei
0x1f1309dbb8a3f7273c1676e5958e702e033d3a2d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $706.8k
- Markets traded
- 600
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded600
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.152US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$1.9kat 0.581Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$1.3kat 0.708Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.1kat 0.814US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.1kat 0.991MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:50 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $100.50 |
| 09-16 18:48 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.43 | $25.80 |
| 09-16 18:39 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 09-16 16:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 14:57 | Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.639092 | $63.91 |
| 09-16 05:05 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $54.53 |
| 09-16 04:27 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.6595602929 | $150.00 |
| 09-15 17:27 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.506410707 | $12.39 |
| 09-14 16:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.93 | $122.76 |
| 09-14 15:19 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1839889661 | $4.50 |
| 09-13 18:18 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 05:47 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 09-12 05:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $790.00 |
| 09-11 04:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | SELL | 0.37 | $31.08 |
| 09-10 17:50 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $109.20 |