Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.12 to 0.25. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	30	30
0.27	102	132
0.36	20	152
0.37	100	252
0.55	70	322
0.57	50	372
0.59	50	422
0.60	117	539
0.61	391	930
0.62	293	1,223
0.63	975	2,198
0.64	150	2,348

Spread0.05Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	5	5
0.20	87	92
0.19	142	234
0.17	131	365
0.16	275	640
0.15	577	1,217
0.14	42	1,259
0.13	27	1,286
0.12	35	1,321
0.11	31	1,352
0.09	20	1,372
0.08	1,204	2,576

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	5	5
0.80	87	92
0.81	142	234
0.83	131	365
0.84	275	640
0.85	577	1,217
0.86	42	1,259
0.87	27	1,286
0.88	35	1,321
0.89	31	1,352
0.91	20	1,372
0.92	1,204	2,576

Spread0.05Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	30	30
0.73	102	132
0.64	20	152
0.63	100	252
0.45	70	322
0.43	50	372
0.41	50	422
0.40	117	539
0.39	391	930
0.38	293	1,223
0.37	975	2,198
0.36	150	2,348

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
OverlookHotel	Yes	19,899.66
chefradish	Yes	8,060.48
unco	Yes	6,626.91
exothetajunkie	Yes	2,563.17
Copezilla	Yes	1,357.12
therootxxx	Yes	1,215.38
cookedquail	Yes	1,161.09
felon23	Yes	911.36
oieri	Yes	615.13
0x9C31B4DBB13D8d912dD77226cff87c648f8f736F-1776939588105	Yes	529.73
lucky0629	Yes	416.67
moneypuff	Yes	300
pedm	Yes	247.31
0x20b2…6bd6	Yes	230.94
0x004F618b49d7f38300195971Df1d34Ead09C9612-1724283938888	Yes	218.76
sryiwantnotrouble	Yes	215.9
JJoyce1904	Yes	214.53
Pre-rich-dude	Yes	182
0x9701445CcFdADA7EF82Dba2d1c38358B794cFab8-1773412283965	Yes	180.41
ng6000	Yes	177.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:16:56	BUY	No	0.79479	100	$79.48
17:10:51	SELL	Yes	0.2099337748	45	$9.51
00:01:44	BUY	Yes	0.27	18	$4.86
19:39:45	SELL	No	0.7583606557	610	$462.60
05:53:09	SELL	No	0.75	10	$7.50
05:52:44	SELL	No	0.75	10	$7.50
04:51:45	BUY	Yes	0.25	8	$2.00
04:51:44	BUY	Yes	0.25	8	$2.00
03:14:02	SELL	Yes	0.21	20	$4.20
01:02:32	BUY	Yes	0.2447158506	1,226	$300.00
01:01:51	BUY	Yes	0.2128208291	5,639	$1200.00
21:23:17	BUY	Yes	0.178919935	1,118	$200.00
11:58:29	BUY	Yes	0.1516300227	13	$2.00
04:58:03	BUY	No	0.8760788257	50	$43.57
18:19:53	BUY	Yes	0.16	13	$2.00
04:13:56	BUY	No	0.85	5	$4.25
03:45:50	BUY	No	0.85	5	$4.25
03:35:51	BUY	No	0.85	5	$4.25
15:39:09	SELL	Yes	0.12	7	$0.84
09:03:35	BUY	Yes	0.16	32	$5.12
18:23:44	SELL	Yes	0.1392680723	100	$13.87
14:52:46	BUY	Yes	0.16	8	$1.28
14:52:26	BUY	Yes	0.15	27	$4.02
14:52:04	BUY	Yes	0.14	1	$0.12
14:49:56	BUY	Yes	0.13	1	$0.12