silie
0x1ad5095ddf80292aa7d808a926a75d02e3abe33f
- Realised P&L
- $2.93
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $325.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.00at 0.270Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?
- +$69.00at 0.310Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$52.00at 0.740Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
- +$44.00at 0.780Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
- +$36.00at 0.640Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 09:16 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.801 | $40.05 |
| 06-22 09:15 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.987 | $49.35 |
| 06-22 09:15 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.991 | $49.55 |
| 06-22 09:15 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL | 0.97 | $66.70 |
| 06-18 23:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 08:11 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 02-21 15:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22? | BUY | 0.9789999993 | $100.00 |
| 01-26 15:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26? | BUY | 0.9989999954 | $180.00 |
| 01-16 09:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $200.00 |
| 01-04 10:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4? | BUY | 0.969 | $120.00 |
| 11-24 12:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 24? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $100.00 |
| 11-22 03:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 22? | BUY | 0.996 | $300.00 |
| 11-19 14:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 11-15 15:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $500.00 |
| 11-14 08:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 14? | BUY | 0.9986829178 | $400.00 |