0x0be125f618d46533b198174129dbaf28b981daa0
0x0be125f618d46533b198174129dbaf28b981daa0
- Realised P&L
- $7.44
- Volume
- $278.02
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $8.38
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.967 | $1.79 | +$0.79 |
| Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.295 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.745 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · No | 0.600 | 0.550 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.675 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.215 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.515 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.520 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.230 | 0.110 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.81at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.432Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:36 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:36 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 01:29 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:29 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 02:42 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:49 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:27 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:24 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 17:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |