Mattia.Ilenotti
0x09343a349bc2b0840c5b81378a229a4ac084f376
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $356.7k
- Markets traded
- 788
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded788
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$391.53at 0.024US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$179.50at 0.045US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$123.39at 0.112Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
- +$121.51at 0.050Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$115.89at 0.780Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:53 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 09-13 13:11 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 10:46 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.61 | $10.37 |
| 09-08 19:14 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 17:39 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 17:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 15:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-04 14:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 08-04 13:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-02 03:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.98008 | $122.51 |
| 08-01 17:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.58 | $31.90 |
| 08-01 17:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 08-01 17:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 08-01 17:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-01 12:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |