PolyBot

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Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.18. down 0.08 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.13 to 0.30. 67 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.20142142
0.2154196
0.7340236
0.7480316
0.815321
0.8845366
0.8927393
0.91555948
0.9250998
0.9351,003
0.942501,253
0.953751,628

Spread0.03Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.17158158
0.1640198
0.1577275
0.0720295
0.045300
0.0310310
0.0215325
0.0120345

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.83158158
0.8440198
0.8577275
0.9320295
0.965300
0.9710310
0.9815325
0.9920345

Spread0.03Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.80142142
0.7954196
0.2740236
0.2680316
0.195321
0.1245366
0.1127393
0.09555948
0.0850998
0.0751,003
0.062501,253
0.053751,628

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes151
youtube-traderYes20
traxupYes20
pootytherewardfarmerYes20
0x3e06eC59fef14A0e4Ccdf0Eb133db570b1d47576-1769977257270Yes1.27
dedidancNo131
0xa5ef…2966No41.33
GuyFromTinderNo20
ramc2005No18.67
luisliuNo1.27

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:08:33BUYNo0.78999986571$1.00
16:55:21BUYNo0.7220$14.40
16:55:21SELLYes0.320$6.00
16:55:20BUYNo0.6920$13.80
16:55:20BUYNo0.68131$89.08
16:40:51BUYNo0.6920$13.80
06:40:11BUYYes0.1660$9.60
05:41:15SELLYes0.131$0.17
22:17:35BUYNo0.971$1.29