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Traders

0x3e06eC59fef14A0e4Ccdf0Eb133db570b1d47576-1769977257270

0x3e06ec59fef14a0e4ccdf0eb133db570b1d47576

Realised P&L
$-136.31
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
4,349
Open portfolio
$20.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,349
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes0.4500.375$9.38−$1.88
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October? · Yes0.5800.545$5.07−$0.33
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31? · Yes0.1600.165$3.64+$0.11
Will Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October? · Yes0.0800.086$2.14+$0.14
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? · Yes0.2100.185$0.23−$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.8500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.9800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.9500.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00−$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00−$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00−$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 13:46Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026SELL0.999$43.59
10-02 02:50Will London have 110mm or more of precipitation in October?SELL0.13$0.77
10-02 02:34Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?SELL0.55$7.15
10-02 00:28Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?SELL0.42$5.04
10-02 00:25Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 in October?SELL0.08$1.60
10-02 00:23Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 in October?SELL0.12$1.44
10-02 00:23Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?SELL0.36$4.68
10-01 23:14Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?SELL0.45$5.40
08-25 22:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.75$1.00
08-25 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-25 22:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.64$1.00
08-25 22:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.98$1.00
08-25 22:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.949999525$1.00
08-25 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.99$1.00
08-25 21:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.719999856$1.00
Trader 0x3e06eC59fef14A0e4Ccdf0Eb133db570b1d47576-1769977257270 · PolyBot Pro