0x3e06eC59fef14A0e4Ccdf0Eb133db570b1d47576-1769977257270
0x3e06ec59fef14a0e4ccdf0eb133db570b1d47576
- Realised P&L
- $-136.31
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,349
- Open portfolio
- $20.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,349
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.28at 0.667Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35-36°F on February 2?
- +$6.30at 0.630Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 4?
- +$6.01at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$5.70at 0.600Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 4?
- +$4.92at 0.507Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:46 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | SELL | 0.999 | $43.59 |
| 10-02 02:50 | Will London have 110mm or more of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.77 |
| 10-02 02:34 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000? | SELL | 0.55 | $7.15 |
| 10-02 00:28 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000? | SELL | 0.42 | $5.04 |
| 10-02 00:25 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 in October? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-02 00:23 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 in October? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.44 |
| 10-02 00:23 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000? | SELL | 0.36 | $4.68 |
| 10-01 23:14 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000? | SELL | 0.45 | $5.40 |
| 08-25 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |