Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-19
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.19. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.18 to 0.50. 59 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	400	400
0.36	559	959
0.40	400	1,359
0.50	246	1,605
0.68	60	1,665
0.70	25	1,690
0.71	55	1,745
0.72	8	1,753
0.73	60	1,813
0.74	80	1,893
0.83	20	1,913
0.86	25	1,938

Spread0.06Mid0.19

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	10	10
0.10	5	15
0.08	400	415
0.05	5	420
0.03	20	440
0.02	94	534
0.01	90	624

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	10	10
0.90	5	15
0.92	400	415
0.95	5	420
0.97	20	440
0.98	94	534
0.99	90	624

Spread0.06Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	400	400
0.64	559	959
0.60	400	1,359
0.50	246	1,605
0.32	60	1,665
0.30	25	1,690
0.29	55	1,745
0.28	8	1,753
0.27	60	1,813
0.26	80	1,893
0.17	20	1,913
0.14	25	1,938

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
sky886	Yes	1,144.83
AJSV	Yes	413.48
0x64B2Df86320431478146E55fbBD10C012502a9f8-1776646852678	Yes	250
KiruaTrading	Yes	178.67
sanBe	Yes	20
xibuxixi	Yes	10
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,913.5
joe48691	No	103.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:27:06	BUY	Yes	0.2	373	$74.70
05:27:03	SELL	Yes	0.2	27	$5.30
04:39:57	BUY	No	0.8	31	$24.58
04:39:57	BUY	No	0.7793814433	73	$56.70
23:23:36	BUY	Yes	0.28	400	$112.00
22:18:06	BUY	No	0.79	40	$31.60
21:48:07	BUY	Yes	0.29	400	$116.00
21:46:06	BUY	Yes	0.2899999993	345	$100.00
04:29:49	BUY	Yes	0.28	150	$42.00