Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-19
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.080. up 0.035 over the period, from 0.045. Range 0.001 to 0.505. 93 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.129	40	40
0.130	400	440
0.683	432	872
0.684	70	942
0.715	40	982
0.738	25	1,007
0.739	10	1,017
0.740	80	1,097
0.921	475	1,572
0.922	52	1,624
0.963	70	1,694
0.967	1,000	2,694

Spread0.099Mid0.080

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	400	400
0.029	7	407
0.011	17	424

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	400	400
0.971	7	407
0.989	17	424

Spread0.099Mid0.920

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.871	40	40
0.870	400	440
0.317	432	872
0.316	70	942
0.285	40	982
0.262	25	1,007
0.261	10	1,017
0.260	80	1,097
0.079	475	1,572
0.078	52	1,624
0.037	70	1,694
0.033	1,000	2,694

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Fuadkrm7	Yes	129.52
0x3ff7…2fa2	Yes	87.39
AJSV	Yes	51.54
IntaSewer	Yes	50.65
merod	Yes	29
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	10.29
TENETENET	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	10
wwder	Yes	5
triklozoid	Yes	5
BottleHeck	Yes	2
lai.cai.8888	No	129.52
199yuyiku	No	126.13
0xa5ef…2966	No	78.22
0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556	No	51.54
yoshimuro	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:41:22	BUY	Yes	0.0294166534	51	$1.49
12:41:20	BUY	Yes	0.0114436116	87	$1.00
08:19:31	SELL	No	0.99	2	$1.98
06:56:26	SELL	Yes	0.001	5	$0.01
06:02:01	BUY	Yes	0.01	10	$0.10
03:14:14	SELL	Yes	0.001	34	$0.03
02:40:20	BUY	No	0.999	126	$126.00
04:44:27	BUY	No	0.996	130	$129.00
11:06:51	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90
02:20:12	BUY	Yes	0.03	52	$1.55