PolyBot

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Traders

199yuyiku

0xd447ca59b6f5da7e21d72b18f00a657f4d8ba5d7

Realised P&L
$250.94
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$117.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.9990.930$117.30−$8.70
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$128.65
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$26.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 02:40Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.999$126.00
09-11 19:05Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of September?BUY0.9969220862$125.70
08-05 06:21Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 3 above $110?BUY0.999$125.60
07-15 04:42Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.998$125.30
07-04 02:10Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.54$128.66
06-12 05:20Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.991$129.00
05-18 14:20Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $50?BUY0.999$128.87
04-26 23:52Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.999$129.32
04-25 00:31Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 26?BUY0.999$129.18
04-13 05:44Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?BUY0.9973674876$128.75
04-10 11:44Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.315348$28.43
04-10 11:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSELL0.99$296.94
04-10 06:19Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETBUY0.01$4.29
03-14 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.34$52.88
03-03 16:51Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY0.998$55.70