PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-21
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.026. down 0.049 over the period, from 0.075. Range 0.026 to 0.120. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0431212
0.044165177
0.060174351
0.070400751
0.12612763
0.12910773
0.13076849
0.14152901
0.14620921
0.1475926
0.178951,021
0.179201,041

Spread0.033Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0101212
0.003164176
0.002116292
0.001245537

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9901212
0.997164176
0.998116292
0.999245537

Spread0.033Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9571212
0.956165177
0.940174351
0.930400751
0.87412763
0.87110773
0.87076849
0.85952901
0.85420921
0.8535926
0.822951,021
0.821201,041

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
0xb857…9648Yes371.32
AJSVYes20.38
youtube-traderYes20
a5533Yes13.5
HaradwaithYes13.32
BottleHeckYes1
0xa5ef…2966No829.14
KiruaTradingNo310

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:14:04BUYYes0.047$0.29
15:50:19BUYNo0.9713$12.92
15:13:46BUYYes0.09310$27.90
15:04:45BUYNo0.89018003276$5.44
15:04:45BUYNo0.917$15.30
15:04:45BUYNo0.914$12.84
15:04:43BUYNo0.92$1.46
15:04:43BUYNo0.96$5.40
15:04:43BUYNo0.910$9.00
15:04:43BUYNo0.95$4.50
11:10:04BUYNo0.9512$11.40
09:34:19SELLYes0.055$0.25
04:52:28SELLNo0.926$5.52
23:18:13SELLYes0.075$0.35
23:18:09BUYNo0.9214$12.42
23:18:09BUYNo0.935$4.65