PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.092. up 0.087 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.005 to 0.100. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1129999
0.11315114
0.11641154
0.11741195
0.11841235
0.11941276
0.12041316
0.12131347
0.12241388
0.12340428
0.12441469
0.12541509

Spread0.039Mid0.092

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0732525
0.0722146
0.00458104
0.003139243
0.002220463
0.001311774

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9272525
0.9282146
0.99658104
0.997139243
0.998220463
0.999311774

Spread0.039Mid0.907

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8889999
0.88715114
0.88441154
0.88341195
0.88241235
0.88141276
0.88041316
0.87931347
0.87841388
0.87740428
0.87641469
0.87541509

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
NotAnIdiotYes97.7
LornaPredictsYes54.33
FallonYes51.72
AJSVYes19
HaradwaithYes14.79
pppnnYes4.49
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes2
0xa5ef…2966No231.06
ghoanNo7.97
Hugin-og-MuninNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:47:29SELLYes0.0835$0.42
05:53:50SELLYes0.06727$1.81
14:35:05BUYYes0.081999997617$1.39
14:35:05BUYYes0.069738796925$1.74
22:30:15SELLYes0.0491$0.04
02:12:29BUYYes0.0525$1.25
07:45:47SELLNo0.9516$6.16
05:42:35BUYYes0.019333201752$1.00
01:43:28BUYNo0.99820$19.76
01:43:28BUYNo0.99810$9.98
01:01:50BUYNo0.9985$4.99
21:13:37BUYNo0.9977$6.90
21:11:16BUYNo0.9915$4.96
21:11:16BUYNo0.99180110$9.92
21:11:16BUYNo0.9903758$7.92
23:00:22SELLNo0.99910$9.99
21:44:51SELLYes0.0311$0.33
21:26:34SELLYes0.0721$1.47
12:22:31BUYNo0.96$5.40
12:22:30BUYNo0.95$4.50
23:58:00BUYNo0.8724$21.31
12:31:52BUYNo0.85999999197$6.37
19:15:21SELLNo0.788$6.24
19:12:25BUYNo0.84999998839$7.28
06:04:43BUYNo0.829$7.38