PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 40%-45%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.109. down 0.073 over the period, from 0.182. Range 0.013 to 0.198. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.115146146
0.117240386
0.12120406
0.12872478
0.12923501
0.13032533
0.13240573
0.13420593
0.14460653
0.14823676
0.171100776
0.22919795

Spread0.012Mid0.109

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.103130130
0.102250380
0.10021401
0.09420421
0.089186607
0.08832639
0.070139778
0.0694361,213
0.007241,237
0.006271,264
0.0042001,464
0.00361,470

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.897130130
0.898250380
0.90021401
0.90620421
0.911186607
0.91232639
0.930139778
0.9314361,213
0.993241,237
0.994271,264
0.9962001,464
0.99761,470

Spread0.012Mid0.891

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.885146146
0.883240386
0.87920406
0.87272478
0.87123501
0.87032533
0.86840573
0.86620593
0.85660653
0.85223676
0.829100776
0.77119795

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fkpaYes753.2
AJSVYes140.75
HaradwaithYes60.3
LornaPredictsYes45
0x44ac…f67aYes37.87
sweetjYes29
pppnnYes20
BobbyBakedBeansYes5.12
0xa5ef…2966No799.84
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlNo153.66
pootytherewardfarmerNo68
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9No50
cigarettesNo19.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:58:45SELLNo0.89620$17.92
21:58:36SELLNo0.89720$17.94
21:58:13SELLNo0.9018520427136$122.52
21:28:37SELLNo0.91635$32.06
14:58:27BUYYes0.02426$0.62
14:39:48BUYNo0.99420$19.91
14:39:48BUYNo0.99410$9.94
23:58:32BUYYes0.02321$0.48
23:16:56SELLYes0.00521$0.10
22:16:26SELLYes0.0055$0.03
21:31:23BUYYes0.01930$0.57
21:15:55SELLYes0.00758$0.41
20:15:37SELLYes0.00712$0.09
19:23:59BUYYes0.013562089258$0.78
19:15:25SELLYes0.00636$0.22
18:14:53SELLYes0.0077$0.05
18:09:32BUYYes0.02610$0.26
17:24:16SELLYes0.00713$0.09
16:24:15SELLYes0.01210$0.12
15:24:13SELLYes0.03220$0.64
20:53:11SELLNo0.89920$17.98
20:49:08SELLNo0.936$5.66
15:45:23SELLNo0.93136$33.07
14:07:36SELLNo0.9311$0.67
12:31:53SELLNo0.92936$33.71