PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.27. up 0.13 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.13 to 0.42. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.27197197
0.2820217
0.2950267
0.3430297
0.3653350
0.3865415
0.4258473
0.6350523
0.646528
0.6650578
0.6830608
0.696615

Spread0.01Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.268080
0.25184264
0.241,5801,844
0.22871,931
0.16201,951
0.10211,972
0.0391,981
0.02161,997

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.748080
0.75184264
0.761,5801,844
0.78871,931
0.84201,951
0.90211,972
0.9791,981
0.98161,997

Spread0.01Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.73197197
0.7220217
0.7150267
0.6630297
0.6453350
0.6265415
0.5858473
0.3750523
0.366528
0.3450578
0.3230608
0.316615

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x2bner7v834fh34394f83jrgb34ug23grf334Yes151.65
LornaPredictsYes95.68
pootytherewardfarmerYes70
HE110W0R1DYes50
cedrissYes50
BeubeuYes36.77
stuvYes30
gthdtrlij549y89Yes20
AJSVYes15.35
Hugin-og-MuninYes5
gt5r3fkpajeets32No346.76
0xa5ef…2966No146.68
predictdogepepewifNo20
pppnnNo11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:06:37SELLNo0.6813$9.00
19:05:31BUYNo0.6620$13.20
19:05:30BUYNo0.6457676779347$223.93
21:37:10SELLNo0.5820$11.60
20:23:32SELLNo0.675$3.35
18:11:07BUYYes0.1816$2.82
18:08:36BUYYes0.1455147059136$19.79
18:08:34BUYYes0.1820$3.60
08:56:33SELLYes0.1315$1.95
14:54:58BUYYes0.1221$2.52
18:25:06SELLYes0.147263922521$3.04
18:25:01SELLYes0.1681$12.96
17:31:48SELLYes0.1481$11.34
17:31:46SELLYes0.15101$15.15
15:38:42BUYYes0.0876237624101$8.85
20:39:10BUYYes0.1221$2.52
09:36:39BUYNo0.8310$8.30
06:30:36SELLYes0.0820$1.60
06:08:37BUYNo0.8620$17.20
09:38:15BUYNo0.9418$16.92
13:11:31BUYNo0.8516$13.33
12:09:51BUYNo0.845$4.20
12:09:04BUYNo0.8518$15.30