PolyBot

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Traders

cedriss

0xe0863d867475d41b95cd730053edc019d82c0450

Realised P&L
$-48.7k
Volume
$2.84M
Markets traded
7,687
Open portfolio
$199.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,687
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? · No0.7800.735$36.75$2.25
Will Ghana win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group C? · No0.6700.655$35.55$0.81
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4700.460$32.39$0.70
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.7500.615$30.75$6.75
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 18? · No0.5200.475$30.73$2.91
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.8300.810$20.96$0.52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 0%-35%? · Yes0.2800.035$2.80$19.60
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? · Yes0.6100.170$2.43$6.28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 25% or more? · Yes0.1500.021$1.64$10.36
Will Uroš Đurđević (CF Monterrey) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season? · Yes0.1030.015$0.93$5.25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 40% or more? · Yes0.1100.011$0.84$7.96
Will FK Liepāja be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0200.033$0.73+$0.29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election? · Yes0.1960.015$0.72$9.07
Will Club América finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential? · Yes0.2500.045$0.64$2.90
Will Bolívar be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB? · Yes0.1400.011$0.41$5.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:52Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ND-AL House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.6$10.80
09-18 00:49Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?SELL0.32$16.00
09-18 00:40Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?BUY0.4713832181$29.32
09-18 00:21Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19?SELL0.72$20.30
09-18 00:20Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18?SELL0.35$1.75
09-18 00:19Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18?SELL0.35$17.50
09-17 23:49Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?SELL0.17$6.80
09-17 23:45Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?SELL0.69$0.85
09-17 23:44Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.37$29.60
09-17 23:25Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.609$2.52
09-17 23:21Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.55$5.50
09-17 23:20Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.54$8.10
09-17 23:20Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.53$2.65
09-17 23:20Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.52$10.40
09-17 23:20Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?SELL0.31$9.52