cedriss
0xe0863d867475d41b95cd730053edc019d82c0450
- Realised P&L
- $-48.7k
- Volume
- $2.84M
- Markets traded
- 7,687
- Open portfolio
- $199.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,687
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.610Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.2kat 0.215Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$907.14at 0.104Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$840.03at 0.074Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?
- +$675.14at 0.150Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:52 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ND-AL House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.6 | $10.80 |
| 09-18 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | SELL | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 09-18 00:40 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | BUY | 0.4713832181 | $29.32 |
| 09-18 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.72 | $20.30 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-18 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 09-17 23:49 | Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 09-17 23:45 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.85 |
| 09-17 23:44 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $29.60 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.609 | $2.52 |
| 09-17 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-17 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.54 | $8.10 |
| 09-17 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-17 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-17 23:20 | Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | SELL | 0.31 | $9.52 |