stuv
0xb02ec2e8cf5c727ed44e9187ad66dc7a78f7a754
- Realised P&L
- $-100.36
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $96.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · No | 0.640 | 0.620 | $18.60 | −$0.60 |
| Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? · No | 0.897 | 0.856 | $17.12 | −$0.82 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 20%-25%? · No | 0.780 | 0.745 | $14.90 | −$0.70 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%? · No | 0.780 | 0.680 | $13.60 | −$2.00 |
| Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election? · No | 0.670 | 0.655 | $13.10 | −$0.30 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.275 | $8.25 | −$2.55 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 45%-50%? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.253 | $7.58 | −$4.91 |
| Will Lea Jansen qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.170 | $3.40 | −$3.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.720Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.001Will Roma be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?
- +$0.00at 0.070Will Alabama have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
- +$0.00at 0.340Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4?
- +$0.00at 0.770Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 45-54 years old?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 19:28 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 19:18 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September? | SELL | 0.76 | $19.00 |
| 09-21 19:18 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 30% or more? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.79 |
| 09-21 19:13 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September? | SELL | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-21 18:06 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 09-21 17:40 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.81 | $6.48 |
| 09-21 17:40 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.16 |
| 09-21 17:38 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%? | SELL | 0.704 | $5.63 |
| 09-21 17:37 | Will CFR Cluj be relegated from the 2026-27 Romania SuperLiga? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 17:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.15 |
| 09-21 17:34 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-21 17:23 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 09-21 16:48 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.51 |
| 09-21 16:43 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.32 |
| 09-21 16:40 | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.99 |