Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.78. up 0.30 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.48 to 0.79. 7 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	510	510
0.80	516	1,026
0.81	91	1,117
0.91	39	1,155
0.92	69	1,224
0.93	8	1,232
0.94	181	1,413
0.96	25	1,438
0.97	7	1,445
0.98	153	1,598
0.99	172	1,770

Spread0.02Mid0.78

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	565	565
0.76	564	1,128
0.75	140	1,268
0.74	40	1,308
0.58	16	1,324
0.57	23	1,347
0.56	20	1,367
0.51	120	1,487
0.50	140	1,627
0.03	26	1,653
0.02	282	1,935
0.01	484	2,419

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	565	565
0.24	564	1,128
0.25	140	1,268
0.26	40	1,308
0.42	16	1,324
0.43	23	1,347
0.44	20	1,367
0.49	120	1,487
0.50	140	1,627
0.97	26	1,653
0.98	282	1,935
0.99	484	2,419

Spread0.02Mid0.22

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	510	510
0.20	516	1,026
0.19	91	1,117
0.09	39	1,155
0.08	69	1,224
0.07	8	1,232
0.06	181	1,413
0.04	25	1,438
0.03	7	1,445
0.02	153	1,598
0.01	172	1,770

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
KimchiCapital	Yes	361.52
pmmmmmmmmmmmmmm	Yes	1.77
pelasti	No	140
ohalving	No	100
AJSV	No	56
AiBird	No	21.77
lissartter	No	21.52
fastandfudurious	No	20
rubby1337	No	4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:06:09	BUY	Yes	0.7899999963	22	$17.20
01:06:09	SELL	No	0.21	20	$4.20
22:26:01	BUY	Yes	0.4945364019	362	$178.78
22:26:01	BUY	Yes	0.5	56	$28.00