ohalving
0x7a1283669a8ee8db2043c46175dc1a381139f7fd
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $121.5k
- Markets traded
- 928
- Open portfolio
- $196.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded928
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.50at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?
- +$119.74at 0.520LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$114.74at 0.540LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$112.00at 0.440Will Trump say "Reagan" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?
- +$81.00at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 23:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 10-14 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.54 |
| 10-14 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.54 |
| 10-14 00:39 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.56 | $71.94 |
| 10-14 00:32 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.34 | $14.41 |
| 10-14 00:30 | Will Trump say "Pipeline" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.0499594064 | $11.72 |
| 10-14 00:22 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.30 |
| 10-14 00:22 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.43 |
| 10-14 00:21 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.0448480891 | $19.09 |
| 10-13 22:16 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.047 | $5.84 |
| 10-13 21:50 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 10-13 21:49 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.32 | $27.88 |
| 10-13 21:49 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.31 | $12.57 |
| 10-13 21:48 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.39 | $77.00 |
| 10-13 21:48 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.046 | $3.62 |